The “temporary” GSP lapse could lead to permanent closure for Bueno of California, which already has paid over $800,000 in extra tariffs due to GSP expiration. That is a massive amount for the 20-person company in Fullerton, California, which sells handbags, wallets, and soft carry-all luggage both online and through major retailers in the United States and Canada. For Bueno, new costs have meant declining orders, layoffs, and canceled investments – and possibly worse in the near future.

I might close the company once our lease expires. The US government is not friendly to small business owners.

Bueno of California President Joseph Pagliaro

The feeling that tariffs are unavoidable is particularly strong in (though not limited to) the travel goods industry. Section 301 remedies imposed on China starting in 2018 now raise tariffs on travel goods by up to 45%. Like many others, Bueno found new suppliers in India and Cambodia to avoid these “outrageous” tariffs. Then India’s GSP was terminated in 2019, raising tariffs on those products. Then Congress allowed the entire GSP program to lapse at the end of 2020, raising tariffs on Cambodian too. Not to mention a global pandemic that has reduced demand for travel-related products such as luggage. There are no good options, and Bueno is now buying more from China despite the 45% tariffs.

Reduced orders hurt GSP’s development goals in Cambodia, whose GDP per capita of $1,513 in 2020 was about 42 times smaller than the United States. After years of growth, Cambodia’s GDP per capita declined 8% in 2020, more than three times the 2.6% decline in the United States. Bueno’s contract factories, which employ mostly women, must pass U.S. safety and social compliance audits done by independent audit company. These are “good jobs” at risk for vulnerable populations that desperately need them.

While Congress can renew GSP “retroactively,” decisions such as “close the business instead of renew the lease” are not so easy to undo. Congress must renew GSP before it is too late for all the companies in Bueno of California’s situation.

Note: this example came from a new Coalition survey on expiration impacts. It was published with permission. GSP importers are encouraged to take the survey here – no company-specific details will be published without such permission.

In a major shift from 2018, consumer goods were the largest category of GSP imports by both value ($6.6 billion) and savings ($512 million). Consumers goods accounted for 32% of total GSP imports, up from 24% the prior year. Because average tariffs (without GSP) are much higher (7.7%), consumer goods accounted for about half of all GSP savings. Expanding GSP to cover travel goods in 2016/2017 has led to steadily increasing consumer goods imports over the last several year.

Industrial materials ranked second among GSP products both by import value ($6.0 billion) and estimated tariff savings ($256 million). Industrial materials were the largest GSP imports, usually by a wide margin, in each of the last 10 years. The reason industrial materials slipped to #2 is clear from the “top countries”: 5 months of GSP for India eliminated more tariffs on materials used by American manufacturers than full-year GSP for any other country.

Agricultural and food products ranked third among GSP products by import value ($2.9 billion) and estimated tariff savings ($116 million). Among the more surprising data points: Ecuador was the second-largest source of food and agricultural products in 2019 by the value of GSP savings, primarily on tropical plants such as taro, mangoes, and guavas.

Capital goods ranked fourth among GSP imports by value ($2.8 billion) and savings ($83 million) in 2019. Despite similar import values, GSP savings on capital goods were much lower than GSP savings on agricultural and food products due to lower average tariff rates (3.0% versus 4.0%, respectively). India was the second-biggest source country in terms of tariff saving on capital goods, again demonstrating how American manufacturers are bearing the brunt of the decision to end GSP for India.

Autos and parts ranked fifth among GSP imports by value ($2.3 billion) and savings ($66 million) in 2019. Passenger vehicles are not eligible for GSP, so imports tend to be concentrated among parts such as engines, tires, and wire harnesses. Not surprisingly, states with a heavy automotive presence such as Michigan and Tennessee are among the top importers by GSP savings on these components and parts.

Based in Plano, Texas, Custom Direct is a US supplier of luggage, bags and cases with 10 employees. The company works with manufacturers in Cambodia that generally qualify for duty-free treatment under GSP. The company hasn’t paid any extra import tariffs due to GSP expiration, but the costs are quite real. According to Custom Direct’s CEO [emphasis added]:

We lost our largest project of the year, the opportunity to supply 2.5 million eyeglass cases to a major US customer as part of a Q-1 project. We were the successful bidder and awaiting the purchase order when we became aware that Congress had failed to renew GSP.  

The duty on cases would have added 17.6% to our cost of goods which we could not simply “hope” to recoup some day if GSP were to be re-instated. We had no choice but to withdraw and the business went to a supplier in China instead. We are still in the running for Q-3, but without GSP allowing us to partner with a Cambodian manufacturer, the project will go to China again.

The loss of business made us delay plans to hire 6 people in Texas and adjust revenue forecasts downward. Our US warehouse subcontractor also delayed plans to hire additional American workers to handle marking and labeling, packing, and distribution of the eyeglass cases. We are a small business and the loss of such a large client is perilous to our bottom line.

Custom Direct is a textbook example of why even retroactive renewals that refund tariffs paid can’t “make companies whole.” There are no tariff refunds for sales that were never made – something we highlighted on Tuesday as well. The longer Congress allows GSP to remain expired, the greater the risk of major losses for companies like Custom Direct that must compete against suppliers in countries like China that are not impacted by GSP expiration.

Is GSP expiration similarly impacting your company? If so, let us know how by completing this form. As always, no company-specific information will be published without explicit permission.