• Top 5 states by tariffs paid due to expiration: California ($287 million), Florida ($98 million), New York ($80 million), Texas ($80 million), Georgia ($61 million)
  
  
• Top 5 states by highest average tariff paid due to expiration: Colorado (12.1%), Maine (11.0%), Wisconsin (9.3%), Montana (9.1%), Utah (9.0%)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of GSP imports: Indonesia ($3.9 billion), Thailand ($3.3 billion), Cambodia ($2.7 billion), Brazil ($2.5 billion), Philippines ($1.9 billion)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of (eventual) tariff savings: Cambodia ($268 million), Indonesia ($218 million), Thailand ($139 million), Philippines ($121 million), Brazil ($94 million)
  
  

Import growth in 2021 was massive. Total U.S. goods imports grew by 21%, while those from GSP countries grew by 35%. Yet “competitive need limitations” (CNLs), which lead to GSP loss for specific products, only grew by 2.6%. As a result, $1.8 billion of the currently eligible imports exceeded the 2021 CNL and another $1.5 billion likely will exceed the 2022 cap based on import levels and trends, putting a huge share of future GSP benefits at risk:

• Top 5 states by share of benefits at risk for exceeding the 2021 CNL: Mississippi (42%), Louisiana (26%), Florida (20%), New York (15%), Virginia (13%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by share of benefits likely at risk from the 2022 CNL: Maine (37%), Colorado (27%), Iowa (27%), Hawaii (19%), Michigan (15%)
  
  

Representatives Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) and Jackie Walorski (R-IN) introduced the bipartisan CNL Update Act (H.R.6171), which would amend the CNLs to grow more in line with historical trends. Not only would the CNL Update Act help preserve GSP for much of that “at risk” trade, it would help restore GSP for some of the $10 billion (!!!) in imports that lost GSP in the past due to product reviews:

• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “should” be restored by H.R.6171: Alaska (84%), South Dakota (72%), Michigan (41%), Maryland (38%), Mississippi (42%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “may” be restored by H.R.6171: South Dakota (4,565%), Wyoming (218%), Maryland (213%), New York (196%), Minnesota (166%)
  
  

While the CNL Update Act has a chance to “preserve and restore,” there remains considerable down-side risk. The GSP renewal language in the House’s America COMPETES Act not only maintains the current CNL thresholds, but creates a high likelihood of full or partial termination for key GSP supplier countries, particularly Brazil, Cambodia, Myanmar, Philippines, and Thailand. Loss of GSP due to current CNL rules, combined with loss for those countries, would decimate the program:

• States where at least 90% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Wisconsin (-97%), West Virginia (-96%), Montana (-92%), Utah (-91%)
  
  
• States where at least 80% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Colorado (-88%), Connecticut (-86%), Arkansas (-85%), Hawaii (-84%), Wyoming (-83%), Maine (-83%), Alaska (-82%), Kansas (-82%), Mississippi (-82%), Texas (-81%), Indiana (-81%)
  
  
• States where at least 70% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Nebraska (-79%), Georgia (-79%), North Carolina (-79%), Michigan (-79%), Washington (-78%), Rhode Island (-78%), Nevada (-78%), Illinois (-77%), Alabama (-76%), New Mexico (-76%), California (-76%), Minnesota (-75%), Tennessee (-75%), Virginia (-74%), Massachusetts (-74%), Oklahoma (-74%), Kentucky (-73%), South Dakota (-72%), Florida (-72%), Oregon (-71%)
  
  

This last set of stats shows that GSP “renewal” can’t be the only priority. It must be renewed in a way that doesn’t decimate the program in the next 2-3 years. After all, it’s impossible to “promote development through trade” with a program that covers no trade.

The China/Section 301 diversion is real. So far in 2021, GSP imports are up 12% for products where Chinese imports face Section 301 tariffs but down 7% for products where Chinese imports don’t face any new Section 301 tariffs. It is impossible to know how much more GSP imports might be up (or Chinese imports down) if GSP expiration hadn’t forced American companies to pay tariffs for those products too. We wrote about how GSP renewal must be a part of any “China trade” conversation here.

Imports into 38 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs paid for products claiming GSP by state.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here. As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission.

From January-September 2021, American companies paid at least $763 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Imports into 38 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs paid for products claiming GSP by state.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here. As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission.

From January-July 2021, American companies paid at least $565 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Imports into 36 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-July 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs paid for products claiming GSP by state.

July was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet for 12 states: Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin. In Rhode Island, tariffs costs in July were more than the previously three months combined. Tantalum metals used primarily to manufacture electronic components from Kazakhstan and Christmas lights from Cambodia – the two products driving the Rhode Island increase – show the diverse impacts of GSP expiration.

GSP expiration costs have a direct, negative impact on American workers:

• “GSP can be the difference between making a profit or a loss and without profits we obviously can’t increase wages and benefits” says Charlie Smith of BROSCO, a 4th generation, family-owned millwork distributor in Massachusetts and Maine. “Continued losses put all of our 360 workers’ jobs and livelihoods at risk.”
  
• “We are having challenges staying competitive“ says Ajay Kochhar of A&S Distributors in Salida, California. The 7-worker company has paid over $60,000 in extra taxes on food products from Fiji because of GSP expiration. “We can’t hire and give employees full benefits as this is a major increase.”
  
• “The tariffs when added to the rapidly escalating costs of containers have been devastating” says Sandra Colyer of Lily Koo LLC in Jamestown, North Carolina. “Employees laid off due to Covid are slowly being brought back, but return to work would occur more quickly if money was not being spent on tariffs.”

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here. As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission.

In the first five months of expiration, American companies paid at least $397 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 32 states paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-May 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

May was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet both nationally and for 19 states: Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia. In three states – Colorado, Kansas, and New Mexico – tariffs paid in May were at least double any of the previous four months.

While many believe the United States has low tariffs, Colorado companies have paid extra tariffs averaging 11.7% due to GSP expiration. Companies in Maine, Montana, New Hampshire, Utah, and Wisconsin have all paid extra tariffs average 7-10%.

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. Companies that want to help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how) should:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

In the first four months of expiration, American companies paid at least $308 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 31 states paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-April 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

April was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet for 21 states – stretching from Florida to Alaska:

• GSP expiration costs have increased every month in Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Idaho, Kansas, and Virginia.
• GSP expiration costs were about 4x higher in April than January in both Idaho and Delaware, and nearly 2x higher in Colorado and Alabama.
• The extra $2 million in tariffs paid in April by companies in Indiana is 40% higher than the average in the first three months of the year, while the $370,000 paid by companies in Nevada was 75% over the January to March average.

GSP expiration impacts are getting worse over time.

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

GSP expiration is already costing American jobs and raising prices for American companies that need inputs and consumers that purchase finished goods. It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. To help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how), companies are strongly encouraged to:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

Kicking India and Turkey out would cost American companies over $300 million annually in new tariffs paid. But in the case of India, it also could lead to (technically unrelated) new tariffs on US exports.

India repeatedly has delayed implementing retaliatory tariffs on US exports in response to US Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs, despite notifying the WTO of its intent to do so last May. Top US exports on the list include apples, almonds, and chemicals. It has been understood that delays were tied to ongoing US-India talks over GSP and other trade irritants. Tariffs currently are scheduled to take effect on May 2

Indian press has reported that tariffs likely will be delayed again – at least for a little while. “India may not wait till May 15 for imposing the retaliatory duties but may come up with a separate notification for immediate implementation” if GSP benefits are terminated in the interim.

Based on 2018 trade data, the tit-for-tat escalation could lead to nearly $500 million in new tariffs on two-way, US-India trade. The table below shows the state-by-state breakdown.

Some states clearly would be hurt more by tariffs on imports: Georgia, New Jersey, Florida, Virginia, Texas. Others clearly could be hurt more by new tariffs on their exports: California, Washington, North Carolina, Alabama.

Of course, all the tariffs likely could be avoided if the President does not issue a proclamation terminating GSP benefits for India, as has been requested by over 430 US companies and associations, 25 associations; and Senators John Cornyn and Mark Warner.

Sometimes the best course of action is no action at all.

By comparison, the most tariffs paid in a single month during the last 2-year expiration was “just” $61 million. So the stakes for a swift, retroactive renewal are much, much higher for American companies this time around.

GSP imports were up by 18 percent compared to January 2017. Had companies not been forced to pay them, tariff savings would have increased by 21 percent. Montana and South Carolina were among the states with big increases in GSP imports getting slapped with new tariffs, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP expiration cost Montana companies $46,000 in January. Potential savings were up $38,000 (514 percent) compared to one year earlier. Travel goods from Philippines and fishing lures from Cambodia contributed most to the increases. As noted recently, Montana Fly Company in Colombia Falls had to lay off 3 workers due to higher tariffs associated with GSP expiration.

GSP expiration cost South Carolina companies $1.8 million in January. Potential savings were up $607,000 (49 percent) compared to one year earlier. Plastic resins from South Africa, motorcycles from Thailand, and plaited goods (baskets, wickerwork) from India contributed most to the increases.

In addition to Georgia and North Carolina, companies in 19 other states (plus DC and Puerto Rico) saw potential GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alaska, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Wyoming.

Potential savings on GSP imports from Tunisia increased by 115 percent compared to January of last year. Maryland companies alone imported $3.4 million in olive oil claiming GSP in January. GSP would’ve eliminated about $1.2 million in import taxes on monumental and building stone in January had it been in place. Illinois was among the largest importing states.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRED EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1.***

The House passed GSP renewal legislation in February, but the Senate must pass legislation for GSP benefits to resume. Please use our Contact Congress tool to write your Senators about GSP renewal; answer our brief survey on how GSP expiration impacts you, and/or sign up for the free GSP supporter list to show the broad support for renewal.

Some states such as Georgia and North Carolina saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Georgia companies $3.9 million in December, up $1.3 million (49 percent) compared to one year earlier. Metal products from Brazil, luggage from Thailand,  and chemicals from India contributed the most to Georgia’s GSP savings increases.

GSP saved North Carolina companies $2.0 million in December, up $577,000 (39 percent) compared to one year earlier. Chemicals from the Philippines, furniture fittings from Thailand, and wood products from Indonesia contributed most to North Carolina’s GSP increases.

In addition to Georgia and North Carolina, companies in 26 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: California, Connecticut, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, and Wyoming.

Savings on GSP imports from Indonesia increased by 31 percent compared to December of last year. California companies’ alone imported $4.6 million in silver jewelry under GSP in December. GSP eliminated about $1.5 million in import taxes on mangoes and guavas in December. About two-thirds of those savings were on imports into New Jersey.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRED EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1.***

The House passed GSP renewal legislation in February, but the Senate must pass legislation for GSP benefits to resume. Please use our Contact Congress tool to write your Senators about GSP renewal; answer our brief survey on how GSP expiration impacts you, and/or sign up for the free GSP supporter list to show the broad support for renewal.

GSP imports were up by 22 percent – and tariffs savings were up by 28 percent – compared to October 2016. Year-to-date savings from GSP are up $102 million, or about $10 million per month, over the first 10 months of 2016.

And those reported savings remain significantly understated: official U.S. government data on GSP imports won’t start reflecting imports under the recent travel goods expansion until next month (though companies have been saving since July 1). Including the travel goods savings could add $5-$10 million more in benefits for American companies per month.

Some states such as Massachusetts and Kansas saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Massachusetts companies $792,000 in October, up $274,000 (53 percent) compared to one year earlier. Sports gloves from Thailand, optical equipment from the Philippines, and aluminum profiles from Turkey contributed the most to Massachusetts’ GSP savings increases.

GSP saved Kansas companies $277,000 in October, up $163,000 (143 percent) compared to one year earlier. Inorganic acids and pesticides from India, and rubber piping from Brazil contributed most to Kansas’ GSP increases.

In addition to Massachusetts and Kansas, companies in 26 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington.

Savings on GSP imports from India increased by 30 percent compared to October of last year. Iowa companies’ purchases of carboxylic acids alone resulted in $282,000 in GSP savings. GSP eliminated about $698,000 in import taxes on aluminum foil in October, with $107,000 of those savings coming from imports into Illinois.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES IN JUST A FEW WEEKS.***

Please use our Contact Congress page to write your Members today about the need to renew GSP today (the letter text was updated December 5). That page makes it quick and easy to email both Senators and your Representative. All you need to do is: 1) enter your contact info, 2) enter a few sentences about your company/GSP imports, and 3) click send.