• Top 5 states by tariffs paid due to expiration: California ($287 million), Florida ($98 million), New York ($80 million), Texas ($80 million), Georgia ($61 million)
  
  
• Top 5 states by highest average tariff paid due to expiration: Colorado (12.1%), Maine (11.0%), Wisconsin (9.3%), Montana (9.1%), Utah (9.0%)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of GSP imports: Indonesia ($3.9 billion), Thailand ($3.3 billion), Cambodia ($2.7 billion), Brazil ($2.5 billion), Philippines ($1.9 billion)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of (eventual) tariff savings: Cambodia ($268 million), Indonesia ($218 million), Thailand ($139 million), Philippines ($121 million), Brazil ($94 million)
  
  

Import growth in 2021 was massive. Total U.S. goods imports grew by 21%, while those from GSP countries grew by 35%. Yet “competitive need limitations” (CNLs), which lead to GSP loss for specific products, only grew by 2.6%. As a result, $1.8 billion of the currently eligible imports exceeded the 2021 CNL and another $1.5 billion likely will exceed the 2022 cap based on import levels and trends, putting a huge share of future GSP benefits at risk:

• Top 5 states by share of benefits at risk for exceeding the 2021 CNL: Mississippi (42%), Louisiana (26%), Florida (20%), New York (15%), Virginia (13%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by share of benefits likely at risk from the 2022 CNL: Maine (37%), Colorado (27%), Iowa (27%), Hawaii (19%), Michigan (15%)
  
  

Representatives Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) and Jackie Walorski (R-IN) introduced the bipartisan CNL Update Act (H.R.6171), which would amend the CNLs to grow more in line with historical trends. Not only would the CNL Update Act help preserve GSP for much of that “at risk” trade, it would help restore GSP for some of the $10 billion (!!!) in imports that lost GSP in the past due to product reviews:

• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “should” be restored by H.R.6171: Alaska (84%), South Dakota (72%), Michigan (41%), Maryland (38%), Mississippi (42%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “may” be restored by H.R.6171: South Dakota (4,565%), Wyoming (218%), Maryland (213%), New York (196%), Minnesota (166%)
  
  

While the CNL Update Act has a chance to “preserve and restore,” there remains considerable down-side risk. The GSP renewal language in the House’s America COMPETES Act not only maintains the current CNL thresholds, but creates a high likelihood of full or partial termination for key GSP supplier countries, particularly Brazil, Cambodia, Myanmar, Philippines, and Thailand. Loss of GSP due to current CNL rules, combined with loss for those countries, would decimate the program:

• States where at least 90% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Wisconsin (-97%), West Virginia (-96%), Montana (-92%), Utah (-91%)
  
  
• States where at least 80% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Colorado (-88%), Connecticut (-86%), Arkansas (-85%), Hawaii (-84%), Wyoming (-83%), Maine (-83%), Alaska (-82%), Kansas (-82%), Mississippi (-82%), Texas (-81%), Indiana (-81%)
  
  
• States where at least 70% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Nebraska (-79%), Georgia (-79%), North Carolina (-79%), Michigan (-79%), Washington (-78%), Rhode Island (-78%), Nevada (-78%), Illinois (-77%), Alabama (-76%), New Mexico (-76%), California (-76%), Minnesota (-75%), Tennessee (-75%), Virginia (-74%), Massachusetts (-74%), Oklahoma (-74%), Kentucky (-73%), South Dakota (-72%), Florida (-72%), Oregon (-71%)
  
  

This last set of stats shows that GSP “renewal” can’t be the only priority. It must be renewed in a way that doesn’t decimate the program in the next 2-3 years. After all, it’s impossible to “promote development through trade” with a program that covers no trade.

In the first five months of expiration, American companies paid at least $397 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 32 states paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-May 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

May was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet both nationally and for 19 states: Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia. In three states – Colorado, Kansas, and New Mexico – tariffs paid in May were at least double any of the previous four months.

While many believe the United States has low tariffs, Colorado companies have paid extra tariffs averaging 11.7% due to GSP expiration. Companies in Maine, Montana, New Hampshire, Utah, and Wisconsin have all paid extra tariffs average 7-10%.

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. Companies that want to help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how) should:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

The products facing the most new tariffs vary greatly by state:

• In Florida, roses faced more than $1.8 million in new tariffs due to GSP expiration in the run-up to Valentine’s Day.
• In New York, gold jewelry faced more than $1 million in new tariffs.
• In Louisiana, over $600,000 in tariffs were paid on steel-making materials (likely by a company around the Port of New Orleans for distribution throughout the country).
• In Massachusetts, over $200,000 in tariffs were paid on leather sports gloves.
• In Pennsylvania over $160,000 were paid for rubber gloves. They were also the top products for tariffs faced in Connecticut, Mississippi, and Minnesota. Notably, while GSP countries face new tariffs, identical products from China continue to receive a Section 301 tariff waiver for public health reasons.

The $70 million in tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is millions of dollars more. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet for numerous products GSP claims fell dramatically while imports continued or even grew. For example, more than $11 million of road wheels from Thailand (88%) were imported in January that didn’t claim GSP. Just 0.4% of those same imports didn’t claim GSP in January 2020. Camshafts and gelatin from Brazil, guitars from Indonesia, and bicycles from Cambodia similarly saw large values of unclaimed GSP imports in January 2021 when nearly all such imports claimed GSP in January 2020.

GSP expiration is already costing American jobs and raising prices for American companies that need inputs and consumers that purchase finished goods. It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. To help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how), companies are strongly encouraged to:

• write their lawmakers about GSP renewal with our Contact Congress tool
• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

The impacts of the India and Turkey decisions are clear, as shown in the graph below. Year-over-year GSP savings regularly were growing by $10+ million per month. In fact, June marked the first time since April 2016 (37 months) that year-over-year GSP savings declined. The $15 million year-over-year drop was the largest decline in GSP savings since the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

GSP savings from other countries continued to grow, increasing $12.5 million (23%) from June 2018 to June 2019. Savings on imports from Cambodia grew by $7.3 million, from Indonesia by $3.0 million, from Thailand by $1.6 million, and from Burma by $1.3 million.

But growth from other countries was not able to offset the loss of GSP ineligibility for India and Turkey throughout the country: 39 states plus DC and Puerto saw GSP savings decline from June 2018 to June 2018.

By value, the states with the largest year-over-year savings declines were New Jersey (-$4.1 million), Florida (-$3.6 million), Texas (-$2.0 million), New York (-$1.2 million), Illinois (-$1.1 million), Louisiana (-$1.0 million), Michigan (-$942,000), North Carolina (-$882,000), Georgia (-$716,000), and South Carolina (-$512,000).

By percent, the states with the largest year-over-year savings declines were Louisiana (-88%), Nebraska (-82%), Vermont (-76%), Wyoming (-71%), Minnesota (-71%), Mississippi (-68%), New Mexico (-65%), Iowa (-62%), Arkansas (-60%), and Idaho (-54%).

In many of these states, declines were wholly attributable to lost GSP for India and Turkey, leaving little chance that savings will bounce back in July.

Despite overwhelming congressional support for GSP renewal in 2018, the Trump administration has taken actions that will gut GSP benefits for many American companies. Last week, USTR announced its intent to terminate GSP benefits for India and Turkey.

[Given the risks to those countries and others – companies importing under GSP are strongly encouraged to add their name to our free GSP supporter list]

Imports from India and Turkey accounted for over $330 million of those tax savings for American companies in 2018 – and there could be more bad news to come. There are “pending reviews” for other major GSP suppliers such as Indonesia and Thailand that accounted for over $310 million in GSP savings last year. (Decisions could be announced at any time.) As such, less than 40% of GSP benefits came on products where there is no an immediate risk of losing GSP.

For many states, the situation is even more dire: India and Turkey combined to account for more than 60% of GSP savings for companies in Nebraska (77%), New Mexico (70%), North Dakota (64%), Missouri (64%), Iowa (63%), Delaware (63%), and Oklahoma (61%). House Members from those states voted 25-0 in support of the 2018 GSP renewal bill (2 were not present), but their reauthorization support could be undermined by the Admistration’s actions.

When you include countries under review, 43 states (!) had at least half of all GSP savings in 2018 come from countries at risk of losing GSP. In addition to states listed above, over 80% of GSP savings are at risk for companies in Maine (87%), Tennessee (85%), Mississippi (84%), Alaska (83%), and Minnesota (81%). Again, there was unanimous support among voting House Members from those states for the 2018 reauthorization bill.

In the first two months of 2018, companies paid $145 million. That includes only products that claimed GSP despite the expiration. Companies have until September 19 to claim refunds manually, so actual refunds paid for January-February likely will be higher than $145 million.

GSP imports were up by 8 percent compared to February 2017. Had companies not been forced to pay them, tariff savings would have increased by 17 percent. Arizona and Utah were among the states with the biggest increases in tariffs paid because of expiration, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP expiration cost Arizona companies $422,000 in February. Potential savings were up $238,000 (130 percent) compared to one year earlier. Chemicals from India, fashion accessories and conveyor belts from Thailand, and tires from Indonesia contributed most to the increases.

GSP expiration cost Utah companies $313,000 in February. Potential savings were up $120,000 (62 percent) compared to one year earlier. Bicycles from Cambodia and travel goods and compressor pumps from the Philippines contributed most to the increases.

In addition to Arizona and Utah, companies in 20 other statessaw potential GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alaska, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming.

Potential savings on GSP imports from Ukraine increased by 195 percent compared to February of last year. Chocolate products into Pennsylvania accounted for nearly a third of imports from Ukraine. Companies paid about $1.1 million in tariffs on plywood, led by importers in Florida.

*** REMINDER: GSP GOES BACK INTO EFFECT APRIL 22 BUT PRODUCT- AND COUNTRY-SPECIFIC BENEFITS MAY BE AT RISK AS PART OF ADMINISTRATIVE REVIEW PROCESS.***

While GSP has been renewed through 2020, we encourage GSP program users to sign up for the free GSP Supporter List to receive periodic updates on such issues such as refunds and the Annual Review process.

GSP imports were up by 22 percent – and tariffs savings were up by 28 percent – compared to October 2016. Year-to-date savings from GSP are up $102 million, or about $10 million per month, over the first 10 months of 2016.

And those reported savings remain significantly understated: official U.S. government data on GSP imports won’t start reflecting imports under the recent travel goods expansion until next month (though companies have been saving since July 1). Including the travel goods savings could add $5-$10 million more in benefits for American companies per month.

Some states such as Massachusetts and Kansas saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Massachusetts companies $792,000 in October, up $274,000 (53 percent) compared to one year earlier. Sports gloves from Thailand, optical equipment from the Philippines, and aluminum profiles from Turkey contributed the most to Massachusetts’ GSP savings increases.

GSP saved Kansas companies $277,000 in October, up $163,000 (143 percent) compared to one year earlier. Inorganic acids and pesticides from India, and rubber piping from Brazil contributed most to Kansas’ GSP increases.

In addition to Massachusetts and Kansas, companies in 26 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington.

Savings on GSP imports from India increased by 30 percent compared to October of last year. Iowa companies’ purchases of carboxylic acids alone resulted in $282,000 in GSP savings. GSP eliminated about $698,000 in import taxes on aluminum foil in October, with $107,000 of those savings coming from imports into Illinois.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES IN JUST A FEW WEEKS.***

Please use our Contact Congress page to write your Members today about the need to renew GSP today (the letter text was updated December 5). That page makes it quick and easy to email both Senators and your Representative. All you need to do is: 1) enter your contact info, 2) enter a few sentences about your company/GSP imports, and 3) click send.

The large increases come despite the fact that July, August, and September savings appear significantly understated: official U.S. government data show no claimed GSP benefits for imports of travel goods from countries such as Thailand and the Philippines in July or August despite a recent program expansion. So not only is GSP program usage is booming, it’s likely that data on savings will be revised up considerably in the near future.

Some states such as Oklahoma and Florida saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Oklahoma companies $316,000 in September, up $126,000 (67 percent) compared to one year earlier. Taps and cocks and artificial plants from India, rubber hoses from Turkey, and ceramic wares from Indonesia contributed most to Oklahoma’s GSP savings increases.

GSP saved Florida companies $4.8 million in September, up $1.3 million (36 percent) compared to one year earlier. Tropical plywood from Ecuador, travel goods from Burma and Cambodia, and motor boats from South Africa contributed most to Florida’s GSP increases.

In addition to Oklahoma and Florida, companies in 21 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, South Dakota, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

Savings on GSP imports from Pakistan increased by 52 percent compared to September of last year. New York companies’ purchases of jewelry alone resulted in $179,000 in GSP savings. GSP eliminated about $500,000 in import taxes on valves in September, with about half of those savings coming from imports into Texas.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES IN JUST A FEW MONTHS.***

Please use our Contact Congress page to write your Members today about the need to renew GSP today. That page makes it quick and easy to email both Senators and your Representative. All you need to do is: 1) enter your contact info, 2) enter a few sentences about your company/GSP imports, and 3) click send.

• That is the highest reported monthly savings since October 2008.
• GSP imports were up by 17 percent – and tariffs savings were up by 21 percent – compared to August 2016.
• Year-to-date savings from GSP are up $72 million, or $9 million per month, over the first 8 months of 2016.

All that despite the fact that August savings are likely significantly understated: official U.S. government data show no claimed GSP benefits for imports of travel goods from countries such as Thailand and the Philippines in July or August despite a recent program expansion.

Put differently: GSP program usage is booming. Some states such as New Jersey and Texas saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved New Jersey companies $7.4 million in August, up over $2.3 million (45 percent) compared to one year earlier. Travel goods from Burma and Cambodia, precious metal compounds from South Africa, and stone products from Brazil contributed most to New Jersey’s GSP increases.

GSP saved Texas companies $7.1 million in August, up over $1.7 million (32 percent) compared to one year earlier. Industrial machinery from Thailand, PET resin from Brazil, and stainless steel flanges from India contributed most to Texas’ GSP increases.

In addition to New Jersey and Texas, companies in 17 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, Delaware, Florida, Indiana, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Savings on GSP imports from Cambodia increased by 307 percent compared to August of last year. New York companies’ purchases of travel goods from Cambodia alone resulted in $740,000 in GSP savings. As companies gear up for the holiday season, GSP eliminated about $1.4 million in import taxes on Christmas lights in August, with over $250,000 of those savings coming from imports into Washington.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES IN JUST A FEW MONTHS.***

Please use our Contact Congress page to write your Members today about the need to renew GSP today. That page makes it quick and easy to email both Senators and your Representative. All you need to do is: 1) enter your contact info, 2) enter a few sentences about your company/GSP imports, and 3) click send.

The map below shows the overall value of year-to-date 2017 GSP imports (in blue) and tax savings (in red) by state.

This map will be updated monthly as new trade data become available and the most up-to-date version will be available at all times on our Graphics page. These posts highlight select states, products, and countries contributing to increases in January, February, and March.

REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES AT THE END OF 2017. Click here to learn about ways to take action and support GSP renewal this year.