• Top 5 states by tariffs paid due to expiration: California ($287 million), Florida ($98 million), New York ($80 million), Texas ($80 million), Georgia ($61 million)
  
  
• Top 5 states by highest average tariff paid due to expiration: Colorado (12.1%), Maine (11.0%), Wisconsin (9.3%), Montana (9.1%), Utah (9.0%)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of GSP imports: Indonesia ($3.9 billion), Thailand ($3.3 billion), Cambodia ($2.7 billion), Brazil ($2.5 billion), Philippines ($1.9 billion)
  
  
• Top 5 source countries by value of (eventual) tariff savings: Cambodia ($268 million), Indonesia ($218 million), Thailand ($139 million), Philippines ($121 million), Brazil ($94 million)
  
  

Import growth in 2021 was massive. Total U.S. goods imports grew by 21%, while those from GSP countries grew by 35%. Yet “competitive need limitations” (CNLs), which lead to GSP loss for specific products, only grew by 2.6%. As a result, $1.8 billion of the currently eligible imports exceeded the 2021 CNL and another $1.5 billion likely will exceed the 2022 cap based on import levels and trends, putting a huge share of future GSP benefits at risk:

• Top 5 states by share of benefits at risk for exceeding the 2021 CNL: Mississippi (42%), Louisiana (26%), Florida (20%), New York (15%), Virginia (13%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by share of benefits likely at risk from the 2022 CNL: Maine (37%), Colorado (27%), Iowa (27%), Hawaii (19%), Michigan (15%)
  
  

Representatives Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) and Jackie Walorski (R-IN) introduced the bipartisan CNL Update Act (H.R.6171), which would amend the CNLs to grow more in line with historical trends. Not only would the CNL Update Act help preserve GSP for much of that “at risk” trade, it would help restore GSP for some of the $10 billion (!!!) in imports that lost GSP in the past due to product reviews:

• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “should” be restored by H.R.6171: Alaska (84%), South Dakota (72%), Michigan (41%), Maryland (38%), Mississippi (42%)
  
  
• Top 5 states by potential GSP savings increase for products that “may” be restored by H.R.6171: South Dakota (4,565%), Wyoming (218%), Maryland (213%), New York (196%), Minnesota (166%)
  
  

While the CNL Update Act has a chance to “preserve and restore,” there remains considerable down-side risk. The GSP renewal language in the House’s America COMPETES Act not only maintains the current CNL thresholds, but creates a high likelihood of full or partial termination for key GSP supplier countries, particularly Brazil, Cambodia, Myanmar, Philippines, and Thailand. Loss of GSP due to current CNL rules, combined with loss for those countries, would decimate the program:

• States where at least 90% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Wisconsin (-97%), West Virginia (-96%), Montana (-92%), Utah (-91%)
  
  
• States where at least 80% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Colorado (-88%), Connecticut (-86%), Arkansas (-85%), Hawaii (-84%), Wyoming (-83%), Maine (-83%), Alaska (-82%), Kansas (-82%), Mississippi (-82%), Texas (-81%), Indiana (-81%)
  
  
• States where at least 70% of current GSP benefits are at risk: Nebraska (-79%), Georgia (-79%), North Carolina (-79%), Michigan (-79%), Washington (-78%), Rhode Island (-78%), Nevada (-78%), Illinois (-77%), Alabama (-76%), New Mexico (-76%), California (-76%), Minnesota (-75%), Tennessee (-75%), Virginia (-74%), Massachusetts (-74%), Oklahoma (-74%), Kentucky (-73%), South Dakota (-72%), Florida (-72%), Oregon (-71%)
  
  

This last set of stats shows that GSP “renewal” can’t be the only priority. It must be renewed in a way that doesn’t decimate the program in the next 2-3 years. After all, it’s impossible to “promote development through trade” with a program that covers no trade.

From January-July 2021, American companies paid at least $565 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Imports into 36 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-July 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs paid for products claiming GSP by state.

July was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet for 12 states: Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin. In Rhode Island, tariffs costs in July were more than the previously three months combined. Tantalum metals used primarily to manufacture electronic components from Kazakhstan and Christmas lights from Cambodia – the two products driving the Rhode Island increase – show the diverse impacts of GSP expiration.

GSP expiration costs have a direct, negative impact on American workers:

• “GSP can be the difference between making a profit or a loss and without profits we obviously can’t increase wages and benefits” says Charlie Smith of BROSCO, a 4th generation, family-owned millwork distributor in Massachusetts and Maine. “Continued losses put all of our 360 workers’ jobs and livelihoods at risk.”
  
• “We are having challenges staying competitive“ says Ajay Kochhar of A&S Distributors in Salida, California. The 7-worker company has paid over $60,000 in extra taxes on food products from Fiji because of GSP expiration. “We can’t hire and give employees full benefits as this is a major increase.”
  
• “The tariffs when added to the rapidly escalating costs of containers have been devastating” says Sandra Colyer of Lily Koo LLC in Jamestown, North Carolina. “Employees laid off due to Covid are slowly being brought back, but return to work would occur more quickly if money was not being spent on tariffs.”

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here. As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission.

In the first six months of expiration, American companies paid at least $480 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 34 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-June 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

June was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet for 12 states: Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Ohio, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and South Carolina. For Alabama, Colorado, and Delaware, each new month has been the most expensive one yet (e.g., June was more than May, which was more than April, which was more than March…).

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here . As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission. Companies that want to help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on the importance of GSP should also join the Coalition for GSP and/or add their name to the free GSP supporter list.

In the first five months of expiration, American companies paid at least $397 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 32 states paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-May 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

May was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet both nationally and for 19 states: Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia. In three states – Colorado, Kansas, and New Mexico – tariffs paid in May were at least double any of the previous four months.

While many believe the United States has low tariffs, Colorado companies have paid extra tariffs averaging 11.7% due to GSP expiration. Companies in Maine, Montana, New Hampshire, Utah, and Wisconsin have all paid extra tariffs average 7-10%.

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. Companies that want to help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how) should:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

Lost GSP for India and Turkey cost American companies as much as $33 million in extra tariffs in July, including up to $26.5 million in new taxes on imports from India and $6.5 million on imports from Turkey. The impacts of the decisions are clear, as shown in the graph below. Before June 2019, year-over-year GSP rose in 37 straight months.

GSP savings from other countries continued to grow, increasing $18.4 million (30%) from September 2018 to September 2019. Savings on imports from Cambodia grew by $10.9 million, from Indonesia by $4.1 million, from Burma by $2.1 million, and from the Philippines by $1.6 million.

By value, the states with the largest year-over-year savings declines were Florida (-$2.1 million), New Jersey (-$2.1 million), Texas (-$2.1 million), Pennsylvania (-$1.1 million), New York (-$984,000), Michigan (-$955,000), North Carolina (-$878,000), Louisiana (-$605,000), Iowa (-$545,000), and Massachusetts (-$490,000).

Savings for companies in Delaware declined over 90%, driven by lost GSP for India. Savings for companies in Maine declined by 84%, resulting from broader-based declines in imports from Brazil, India, Thailand, etc.

Fifteen states saw GSP savings increase in September. Among those, California (+$3.4 million) accounted for 60% of GSP savings increases.

The map below shows the overall value of 2018 GSP imports (in blue) and tax savings (in red) by state.

Increased GSP savings were both large and widespread:

• California saw savings increase by over $50 million (+36%), while New Jersey saw GSP savings jump by about $27 million (+42%).
• Maine‘s savings more than tripled – from about $500,000 in 2017 to nearly $1.6 million in 2018. Savings growth also was very high in Missouri (+59%), North Dakota (+54%), Kentucky (+34%), Delaware (+33%), and South Carolina (+30%).

However, recent decisions to terminate GSP eligibility for Turkey and India mean many of the American companies previously saving money due to GSP now face extra import taxes. Several dozen companies impacted by the decisions were profiled in the Coalition for GSP’s April report: How GSP Termination Would Hurt American Businesses & Workers.

Despite overwhelming congressional support for GSP renewal in 2018, the Trump administration has taken actions that will gut GSP benefits for many American companies. Last week, USTR announced its intent to terminate GSP benefits for India and Turkey.

[Given the risks to those countries and others – companies importing under GSP are strongly encouraged to add their name to our free GSP supporter list]

Imports from India and Turkey accounted for over $330 million of those tax savings for American companies in 2018 – and there could be more bad news to come. There are “pending reviews” for other major GSP suppliers such as Indonesia and Thailand that accounted for over $310 million in GSP savings last year. (Decisions could be announced at any time.) As such, less than 40% of GSP benefits came on products where there is no an immediate risk of losing GSP.

For many states, the situation is even more dire: India and Turkey combined to account for more than 60% of GSP savings for companies in Nebraska (77%), New Mexico (70%), North Dakota (64%), Missouri (64%), Iowa (63%), Delaware (63%), and Oklahoma (61%). House Members from those states voted 25-0 in support of the 2018 GSP renewal bill (2 were not present), but their reauthorization support could be undermined by the Admistration’s actions.

When you include countries under review, 43 states (!) had at least half of all GSP savings in 2018 come from countries at risk of losing GSP. In addition to states listed above, over 80% of GSP savings are at risk for companies in Maine (87%), Tennessee (85%), Mississippi (84%), Alaska (83%), and Minnesota (81%). Again, there was unanimous support among voting House Members from those states for the 2018 reauthorization bill.

Even before upward revisions, U.S. companies’ tax benefits from GSP showed massive increases from past years: American companies saved nearly $20 million per month more in 2017 because of GSP compared to just two years earlier.

Through the first half of 2018, GSP savings are up an additional 18 percent and on track to crack $1 billion for the year. While Congress renewed GSP through 2020 to give companies the certainty necessary to encourage such growth, the Trump administration has launched a number of country “eligibility reviews” that could raise taxes for American companies that depend on GSP – by a lot.

There are GSP reviews underway for India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Thailand, and Turkey. American companies saved $544 million last year due to GSP for those countries. Collectively, they accounted for 61 percent of GSP savings on imports from all countries.

Given the risk of lost GSP, we strongly encourage companies importing from those countries to sign up for our GSP supporter list and take our review impacts survey, which are both free.

In terms of specific revisions based on the new data, New Jersey saw the biggest jump in savings by value, followed by Florida, California, Georgia, and New York.

Montana saw the biggest jump in GSP savings by percent, followed by Utah, Maine, Florida, and Nevada.

For supplier countries, the largest revision in US savings came on imports from the Philippines, followed by Indonesia, India, Thailand, and Brazil.

In the first two months of 2018, companies paid $145 million. That includes only products that claimed GSP despite the expiration. Companies have until September 19 to claim refunds manually, so actual refunds paid for January-February likely will be higher than $145 million.

GSP imports were up by 8 percent compared to February 2017. Had companies not been forced to pay them, tariff savings would have increased by 17 percent. Arizona and Utah were among the states with the biggest increases in tariffs paid because of expiration, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP expiration cost Arizona companies $422,000 in February. Potential savings were up $238,000 (130 percent) compared to one year earlier. Chemicals from India, fashion accessories and conveyor belts from Thailand, and tires from Indonesia contributed most to the increases.

GSP expiration cost Utah companies $313,000 in February. Potential savings were up $120,000 (62 percent) compared to one year earlier. Bicycles from Cambodia and travel goods and compressor pumps from the Philippines contributed most to the increases.

In addition to Arizona and Utah, companies in 20 other statessaw potential GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alaska, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming.

Potential savings on GSP imports from Ukraine increased by 195 percent compared to February of last year. Chocolate products into Pennsylvania accounted for nearly a third of imports from Ukraine. Companies paid about $1.1 million in tariffs on plywood, led by importers in Florida.

*** REMINDER: GSP GOES BACK INTO EFFECT APRIL 22 BUT PRODUCT- AND COUNTRY-SPECIFIC BENEFITS MAY BE AT RISK AS PART OF ADMINISTRATIVE REVIEW PROCESS.***

While GSP has been renewed through 2020, we encourage GSP program users to sign up for the free GSP Supporter List to receive periodic updates on such issues such as refunds and the Annual Review process.

By comparison, the most tariffs paid in a single month during the last 2-year expiration was “just” $61 million. So the stakes for a swift, retroactive renewal are much, much higher for American companies this time around.

GSP imports were up by 18 percent compared to January 2017. Had companies not been forced to pay them, tariff savings would have increased by 21 percent. Montana and South Carolina were among the states with big increases in GSP imports getting slapped with new tariffs, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP expiration cost Montana companies $46,000 in January. Potential savings were up $38,000 (514 percent) compared to one year earlier. Travel goods from Philippines and fishing lures from Cambodia contributed most to the increases. As noted recently, Montana Fly Company in Colombia Falls had to lay off 3 workers due to higher tariffs associated with GSP expiration.

GSP expiration cost South Carolina companies $1.8 million in January. Potential savings were up $607,000 (49 percent) compared to one year earlier. Plastic resins from South Africa, motorcycles from Thailand, and plaited goods (baskets, wickerwork) from India contributed most to the increases.

In addition to Georgia and North Carolina, companies in 19 other states (plus DC and Puerto Rico) saw potential GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alaska, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Wyoming.

Potential savings on GSP imports from Tunisia increased by 115 percent compared to January of last year. Maryland companies alone imported $3.4 million in olive oil claiming GSP in January. GSP would’ve eliminated about $1.2 million in import taxes on monumental and building stone in January had it been in place. Illinois was among the largest importing states.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRED EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1.***

The House passed GSP renewal legislation in February, but the Senate must pass legislation for GSP benefits to resume. Please use our Contact Congress tool to write your Senators about GSP renewal; answer our brief survey on how GSP expiration impacts you, and/or sign up for the free GSP supporter list to show the broad support for renewal.