The China/Section 301 diversion is real. So far in 2021, GSP imports are up 12% for products where Chinese imports face Section 301 tariffs but down 7% for products where Chinese imports don’t face any new Section 301 tariffs. It is impossible to know how much more GSP imports might be up (or Chinese imports down) if GSP expiration hadn’t forced American companies to pay tariffs for those products too. We wrote about how GSP renewal must be a part of any “China trade” conversation here.

Imports into 38 states (plus Puerto Rico) paid at least $1 million in tariffs due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs paid for products claiming GSP by state.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. We strongly encourage GSP importers hurt by expiration to answer our new survey here. As always, no company-specific details will be published without permission.

In the first five months of expiration, American companies paid at least $397 million in extra taxes as a result of GSP expiration. Companies in 32 states paid at least $1 million in tariffs from January-May 2021 due to GSP expiration. The map below shows estimated tariffs for products claiming GSP paid by state in that period.

May was the most expensive month of GSP expiration yet both nationally and for 19 states: Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia. In three states – Colorado, Kansas, and New Mexico – tariffs paid in May were at least double any of the previous four months.

While many believe the United States has low tariffs, Colorado companies have paid extra tariffs averaging 11.7% due to GSP expiration. Companies in Maine, Montana, New Hampshire, Utah, and Wisconsin have all paid extra tariffs average 7-10%.

The data on tariffs paid is a conservative estimate, and the real figure likely is higher. Why? Estimates only capture products that continued to claim GSP despite expiration. Yet imports of many products that traditionally get GSP have not claimed it in 2021. Tariffs paid on those imports still would be eligible for refunds in the event of a retroactive renewal, but importers would need to file manual requests.

It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. Companies that want to help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how) should:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

California accounts for more than a quarter of GSP savings, more than the next 3 states – New York, Florida, Texas – combined. Georgia, New Jersey, Ohio, Illinois, Washington, and Pennsylvania round out the top 10 states for GSP savings in 2020.

Estimated GSP savings for Colorado grew from $4 million in 2019 to $14 million in 2020, by far the largest increase. Estimated GSP savings also grew in Wisconsin (+$869,000), Arkansas (+$478,000), Washington (+$300,000), Delaware (+$73,000), and Wyoming (+$34,000). Estimated savings fell in all other states.

While Covid-19 had big impacts on GSP imports in the spring, declines were largely due to country suspensions. Excluding products impacted by country suspensions (e.g., India, Turkey, Thailand), most states’ GSP savings grew. For example, New York’s GSP savings grew by $15 million on non-impacted products but fell by $2.5 million overall due to country suspensions. Similarly, Texas’ savings GSP by $9 million on non-impacted products but fell by over $7 million overall.

Since GSP expired on December 31, American likely have paid about $110 million in tariffs that previously would’ve been “GSP savings.” It is critical that Congress renew GSP – with refunds for tariffs paid – as soon as possible. To help the Coalition for GSP educate policymakers on who is hurt by expiration (and how), companies are strongly encouraged to:

• join the Coalition for GSP
• add their name to the free GSP supporter list
• answer our very short survey on GSP expiration impacts to date

The impacts of the India and Turkey decisions are clear, as shown in the graph below. Year-over-year GSP savings regularly were growing by $10+ million per month. In fact, June marked the first time since April 2016 (37 months) that year-over-year GSP savings declined. The $15 million year-over-year drop was the largest decline in GSP savings since the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

GSP savings from other countries continued to grow, increasing $12.5 million (23%) from June 2018 to June 2019. Savings on imports from Cambodia grew by $7.3 million, from Indonesia by $3.0 million, from Thailand by $1.6 million, and from Burma by $1.3 million.

But growth from other countries was not able to offset the loss of GSP ineligibility for India and Turkey throughout the country: 39 states plus DC and Puerto saw GSP savings decline from June 2018 to June 2018.

By value, the states with the largest year-over-year savings declines were New Jersey (-$4.1 million), Florida (-$3.6 million), Texas (-$2.0 million), New York (-$1.2 million), Illinois (-$1.1 million), Louisiana (-$1.0 million), Michigan (-$942,000), North Carolina (-$882,000), Georgia (-$716,000), and South Carolina (-$512,000).

By percent, the states with the largest year-over-year savings declines were Louisiana (-88%), Nebraska (-82%), Vermont (-76%), Wyoming (-71%), Minnesota (-71%), Mississippi (-68%), New Mexico (-65%), Iowa (-62%), Arkansas (-60%), and Idaho (-54%).

In many of these states, declines were wholly attributable to lost GSP for India and Turkey, leaving little chance that savings will bounce back in July.

If Congress passes the bill tomorrow – the goal since government funding runs out at 12:01AM Saturday – GSP benefits would go back into effect on April 22. The bill would extend GSP through December 31, 2020 and refund tariffs paid during the lapse.

GSP renewal and refunds will help small businesses like Lakland Guitars, a small business in Chicago, Illinois that imports musical instruments and components for guitar manufacturing from Indonesia and then exports products around the world. The $4,500 in extra tariffs paid due to GSP expiration has prevented even cost of living raises for its employees, and renewal will help avoid price increases that could negatively impact sales.

By comparison, the most tariffs paid in a single month during the last 2-year expiration was “just” $61 million. So the stakes for a swift, retroactive renewal are much, much higher for American companies this time around.

GSP imports were up by 18 percent compared to January 2017. Had companies not been forced to pay them, tariff savings would have increased by 21 percent. Montana and South Carolina were among the states with big increases in GSP imports getting slapped with new tariffs, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP expiration cost Montana companies $46,000 in January. Potential savings were up $38,000 (514 percent) compared to one year earlier. Travel goods from Philippines and fishing lures from Cambodia contributed most to the increases. As noted recently, Montana Fly Company in Colombia Falls had to lay off 3 workers due to higher tariffs associated with GSP expiration.

GSP expiration cost South Carolina companies $1.8 million in January. Potential savings were up $607,000 (49 percent) compared to one year earlier. Plastic resins from South Africa, motorcycles from Thailand, and plaited goods (baskets, wickerwork) from India contributed most to the increases.

In addition to Georgia and North Carolina, companies in 19 other states (plus DC and Puerto Rico) saw potential GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alaska, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Wyoming.

Potential savings on GSP imports from Tunisia increased by 115 percent compared to January of last year. Maryland companies alone imported $3.4 million in olive oil claiming GSP in January. GSP would’ve eliminated about $1.2 million in import taxes on monumental and building stone in January had it been in place. Illinois was among the largest importing states.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRED EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1.***

The House passed GSP renewal legislation in February, but the Senate must pass legislation for GSP benefits to resume. Please use our Contact Congress tool to write your Senators about GSP renewal; answer our brief survey on how GSP expiration impacts you, and/or sign up for the free GSP supporter list to show the broad support for renewal.

GSP imports were up by 22 percent – and tariffs savings were up by 28 percent – compared to October 2016. Year-to-date savings from GSP are up $102 million, or about $10 million per month, over the first 10 months of 2016.

And those reported savings remain significantly understated: official U.S. government data on GSP imports won’t start reflecting imports under the recent travel goods expansion until next month (though companies have been saving since July 1). Including the travel goods savings could add $5-$10 million more in benefits for American companies per month.

Some states such as Massachusetts and Kansas saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Massachusetts companies $792,000 in October, up $274,000 (53 percent) compared to one year earlier. Sports gloves from Thailand, optical equipment from the Philippines, and aluminum profiles from Turkey contributed the most to Massachusetts’ GSP savings increases.

GSP saved Kansas companies $277,000 in October, up $163,000 (143 percent) compared to one year earlier. Inorganic acids and pesticides from India, and rubber piping from Brazil contributed most to Kansas’ GSP increases.

In addition to Massachusetts and Kansas, companies in 26 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington.

Savings on GSP imports from India increased by 30 percent compared to October of last year. Iowa companies’ purchases of carboxylic acids alone resulted in $282,000 in GSP savings. GSP eliminated about $698,000 in import taxes on aluminum foil in October, with $107,000 of those savings coming from imports into Illinois.

*** REMINDER: GSP EXPIRES IN JUST A FEW WEEKS.***

Please use our Contact Congress page to write your Members today about the need to renew GSP today (the letter text was updated December 5). That page makes it quick and easy to email both Senators and your Representative. All you need to do is: 1) enter your contact info, 2) enter a few sentences about your company/GSP imports, and 3) click send.

GSP imports were up by 15 percent – and tariffs savings were up by 17 percent – compared to a year earlier. Some states such as Nebraska and Maryland saw much larger increases in GSP imports and savings compared to the previous year, as shown in the graphic below.

GSP saved Nebraska companies $105,000 thousand in June, up $42,000 (68 percent) compared to one year earlier. Activated carbon from the Philippines, copper alloys and rubber stoppers from India, and aluminum frames from Thailand contributed most to Nebraska’s GSP increases.

GSP saved Maryland companies $2.1 million in June, up over $450,000 (28 percent) compared to one year earlier. Silicon from Kazakhstan, carbides from South Africa, and zinc from India contributed most to Maryland’s GSP increases.

In addition to Nebraska and Maryland, companies in 17 other states saw GSP savings increase by at least 20 percent, including: Alabama, Alaska, California, Colorado, Delaware, Indiana, Louisiana, Maine, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin.

Savings on GSP imports from Lebanon increased by 58 percent compared to June of last year. Illinois companies’ purchases of nuts accounted for nearly $250,000 of the GSP imports from Lebanon. GSP eliminated about $471,000 in import taxes on steering wheels in June, with more than a fifth of those savings on imports into Michigan.

• Kona Bicycle in Ferndale, Washington: GSP expiration cost Kona $580,000 and delayed new product developments. GSP renewal allowed Kona to invest in new R&D equipment and hire 5 workers in products development and sales.
• Golden Country in Chicago, Illinois: After paying over $1 million in extra import taxes during GSP expiration, renewal allowed Golden Country to give employees raises and purchase new warehouse equipment and trucks.
• Fab-Line Machinery in Nashville, Tennessee: GSP expiration cost Fab-Line $350,000 in extra taxes and forced the small business to lay off a worker. GSP renewal allowed Fab-Line to hire 2 new workers and lower costs for its customers: American manufacturers.

• WorldFinds in Westmont, Illinois: After paying $55,000 in extra taxes during expiration, GSP renewal allowed WorldFinds to hire one full-time employee and another part-time worker – a big increase for a small business with a staff of (now) nine.
• Burris Company in Greeley, Colorado: After paying $3.2 million in extra taxes during expiration, GSP renewal allowed Burris to invest in its domestic manufacturing, leading to new, good paying jobs in Colorado.
• PolySource in Independence, Missouri: After paying $640,000 in extra taxes during expiration, GSP renewal allowed PolySource to hire five new workers, increasing overall employment from 11 workers to 16 workers.